Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.451348 0.495123 0.542013 0.596098 0.656910 0.723343 0.801639
2026-01-18 0.380576 0.441523 0.511443 0.598111 0.703370 0.827980 0.988016
2026-01-25 0.340716 0.410435 0.494232 0.603429 0.743520 0.919350 1.160155
2026-02-01 0.304347 0.377225 0.467991 0.590949 0.755663 0.972342 1.285153
2026-02-08 0.281925 0.358202 0.456207 0.593619 0.784995 1.047777 1.446206
2026-02-15 0.260906 0.338538 0.440970 0.588916 0.802080 1.106115 1.587887
2026-02-22 0.245608 0.324881 0.432067 0.591213 0.827951 1.178043 1.756973
2026-03-01 0.229355 0.308450 0.417679 0.583815 0.838004 1.226223 1.893457
2026-03-08 0.214505 0.292795 0.402989 0.574297 0.843240 1.266432 2.020566
2026-03-15 0.198899 0.274957 0.383768 0.556148 0.832910 1.279968 2.102659
2026-03-22 0.192961 0.270717 0.384099 0.567756 0.870581 1.375351 2.341218
2026-03-29 0.186888 0.265811 0.382954 0.576697 0.904296 1.467000 2.585187
2026-04-05 0.179824 0.259108 0.378791 0.580732 0.930607 1.549456 2.826071
2026-04-12 0.172805 0.252059 0.373623 0.582675 0.953432 1.628106 3.071885
2026-04-19 0.167072 0.246634 0.370599 0.587826 0.982155 1.720519 3.360777
2026-04-26 0.158234 0.235792 0.358136 0.575738 0.978141 1.749128 3.514725
2026-05-03 0.152999 0.230424 0.354275 0.578325 1.001556 1.834260 3.810171
2026-05-10 0.146788 0.223132 0.346758 0.573769 1.010766 1.891223 4.048776
2026-05-17 0.142261 0.218355 0.343169 0.575994 1.033234 1.978151 4.375573
2026-05-24 0.136388 0.211047 0.334832 0.568827 1.036236 2.023373 4.604422
2026-05-31 0.130553 0.203530 0.325737 0.559605 1.034205 2.057147 4.809109
2026-06-07 0.123709 0.194012 0.312678 0.542019 1.013397 2.046296 4.890534
2026-06-14 0.121874 0.192976 0.314538 0.553268 1.054249 2.182198 5.410741